Skip to main content
The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0243 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Disposition Effect

Selling winners too early and holding losers too long.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Selling winners too early and holding losers too long.

Plain-English Definition

Selling winners too early and holding losers too long.

Feynman Explanation

Realize gains; defer the pain.

Core Principle

Selling winners too early and holding losers too long.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Selling winners too early and holding losers too long.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Project portfolios suffer the same pattern as stock portfolios.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Realize gains; defer the pain.

Examples

Everyday
  • Investors who lock in 10% gains and ride 50% losses to zero.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Project portfolios suffer the same pattern as stock portfolios.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Apply equal-rigor stop-loss discipline to winners and losers.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Project portfolios suffer the same pattern as stock portfolios.
Amplifying Incentives
Project portfolios suffer the same pattern as stock portfolios.
Org Failure Modes
Project portfolios suffer the same pattern as stock portfolios.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Apply equal-rigor stop-loss discipline to winners and losers.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Apply equal-rigor stop-loss discipline to winners and losers.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Apply equal-rigor stop-loss discipline to winners and losers.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0243 · COG
Disposition Effect
DERu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisAnAnchoringADAsian Disease ProblemABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold Effect

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.