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The Incentives Lab
Incentives OS · 20 Layers

The reasoning substrate

The 12 Behavioral Dimensions answer what shapes behavior. The 20 Layers answer through which lens we are looking at it. Every situation can be re-read through each one — and most blind spots live in the layers you haven't checked.

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21 of 21 layers
Layer 01
47 HBEs

Existing Framework

Esoteric, mythic, and developmental maps already living inside the Incentives Lab.

"Which developmental stage and archetype is driving this?"

Layer 02
260 HBEs

Behavioral Economics

200+ cognitive biases, heuristics, and Prospect Theory — how humans actually decide.

"Which biases are most likely operating right now?"

Layer 03
21 HBEs

Game Theory

Every incentive lives inside a game. Find the game and the strategy follows.

"What game is being played — and what is the equilibrium?"

Layer 04
55 HBEs

Systems Thinking

Feedback loops, stocks, flows, delays, and leverage points. Where structural change actually lives.

"What feedback loop is reinforcing this behavior?"

Layer 05
17 HBEs

Complexity Science

Human systems are adaptive, emergent, path-dependent, and fat-tailed.

"What non-linearities and tipping points are latent here?"

Layer 06
36 HBEs

Evolutionary Psychology

Status, kin, coalitions, signaling — the ancestral OS underneath every modern org chart.

"What ancestral instinct is being triggered?"

Layer 07
95 HBEs

Neuroscience

Decision architecture at the level of circuits, neurotransmitters, and prediction error.

"What neural circuit is being activated or hijacked?"

Layer 08
153 HBEs

Organizational Psychology

How companies behave — psychological safety, agency, autonomy, burnout, culture.

"What is the org actually rewarding — versus claiming to reward?"

Layer 09
86 HBEs

Persuasion & Behavior Design

Cialdini, Fogg, nudge theory — the levers that make a behavior more or less likely right now.

"What is making this behavior easier than the alternative?"

Layer 10
16 HBEs

Negotiation

Harvard Negotiation Project — BATNA, ZOPA, interests vs. positions, leverage.

"Where is the real leverage — and what interests sit behind the stated positions?"

Layer 11
314 HBEs

Economics & Mechanism Design

Markets, auctions, externalities, agency theory, rent seeking, creative destruction.

"Who pays, who is paid, and what does the price signal hide?"

Layer 12
17 HBEs

Moral Philosophy

Every incentive contains ethics. Virtue, consequence, duty, justice, care.

"Whose good is being served — and whose is being externalized?"

Layer 13
29 HBEs

Leadership

Situational, adaptive, servant, transformational — the social technology of mobilizing humans.

"What kind of leadership move does this situation actually require?"

Layer 14
16 HBEs

Innovation

Jobs-to-be-Done, Lean, Blue Ocean, Innovator's Dilemma, TRIZ, OODA, Cynefin.

"What job is the user really hiring this for?"

Layer 15
547 HBEs

AI & Alignment

Agentic systems, reward hacking, specification gaming, goal misgeneralization. AI has perverse incentives too.

"What proxy reward is the AI optimizing — and what is it ignoring?"

Layer 16
16 HBEs

Network Science

Centrality, weak ties, structural holes, cascades, memetics. Everything is a network.

"Who is the structural broker — and where do the cascades start?"

Layer 17
28 HBEs

Information Theory

Entropy, signal vs. noise, Bayesian updating, prediction markets, expected value.

"What is signal here — and what is noise being treated as signal?"

Layer 18
148 HBEs

Temporal Models

Discounting, future-self, compounding, second- and third-order effects.

"What happens if this incentive compounds for ten years?"

Layer 19
110 HBEs

Human Needs & Meaning

Self-Determination Theory, PERMA, mattering, purpose, ikigai, agency.

"Which basic human need is being met — or starved — by this design?"

Layer 20
0 HBEs

Universal Diagnostic Questions

The 20-question reasoning engine. Every situation gets evaluated through the same lens.

"Run all 20 questions — what shifts when you do?"

Layer 21
694 HBEs

Mental Models & Mastery

The Munger latticework: hundreds of cross-disciplinary models, chunked through deliberate practice into trustworthy intuition.

"Which model — or stack of models — are we missing here?"