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The Incentives Lab
HBT-IDN-0002 · Dimension IDN · Identity

Backfire Effect

Contradictory evidence sometimes deepens the original belief.

Belief Bias·Cognitive Bias·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Contradictory evidence sometimes deepens the original belief.

Plain-English Definition

Contradictory evidence sometimes deepens the original belief.

Feynman Explanation

The more you prove them wrong, the more right they feel.

Core Principle

Contradictory evidence sometimes deepens the original belief.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Contradictory evidence sometimes deepens the original belief.

Behavioral Economic

Pending editorial review.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The more you prove them wrong, the more right they feel.

Examples

Everyday
  • A leader doubles down on a strategy after each data point against it.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Course corrections delayed because correction was 'attempted.'
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Lead with shared values, not with proof. Reframe before you refute.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
AI skeptics radicalized by clumsy adoption pushes.
Amplifying Incentives
Course corrections delayed because correction was 'attempted.'
Org Failure Modes
Course corrections delayed because correction was 'attempted.'
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Lead with shared values, not with proof. Reframe before you refute.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Lead with shared values, not with proof. Reframe before you refute.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Lead with shared values, not with proof. Reframe before you refute.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
AI skeptics radicalized by clumsy adoption pushes.
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-IDN-0002 · IDN
Backfire Effect
BEACAvailability CascadeBPBelief PerseveranceCBConfirmation BiasCBConservatism BiasJHJust-World HypothesisPBPro-Innovation BiasSRSemmelweis ReflexSBSurvivorship BiasSJSystem JustificationBBBias Blind Spot

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.