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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0205 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Crossing the Chasm

The gap between early adopters and the early majority kills most products.

Markets·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

The gap between early adopters and the early majority kills most products.

Plain-English Definition

The gap between early adopters and the early majority kills most products.

Feynman Explanation

The hardest sale is the second category of customer.

Core Principle

The gap between early adopters and the early majority kills most products.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

The gap between early adopters and the early majority kills most products.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Product-market fit graduation.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The hardest sale is the second category of customer.

Examples

Everyday
  • Tech products that thrived with enthusiasts and died with the mainstream.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Product-market fit graduation.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Plan deliberately for the chasm; it isn't accidental.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Product-market fit graduation.
Amplifying Incentives
Product-market fit graduation.
Org Failure Modes
Product-market fit graduation.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Plan deliberately for the chasm; it isn't accidental.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Plan deliberately for the chasm; it isn't accidental.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Plan deliberately for the chasm; it isn't accidental.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0205 · COG
Crossing the Chasm
CTChChurnDODiffusion of Innovat…DTDisruption TheoryEBEconomic BubbleEMEfficient Market Hyp…IDInnovator's DilemmaJTJobs to Be DoneLTLong TailReReflexivitySCS-Curve

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.