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The Incentives Lab
HBT-IDN-0001 · Dimension IDN · Identity

Availability Cascade

A story repeats until it becomes obviously true.

Belief Bias·Cognitive Bias·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

A story repeats until it becomes obviously true.

Plain-English Definition

A story repeats until it becomes obviously true.

Feynman Explanation

Said enough times, an anecdote becomes a strategy.

Core Principle

A story repeats until it becomes obviously true.

Mechanisms

Psychological

A story repeats until it becomes obviously true.

Behavioral Economic

Pending editorial review.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Said enough times, an anecdote becomes a strategy.

Examples

Everyday
  • A single competitor story dominates ten internal decks for a year.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Strategy follows whatever narrative had the best PR cycle.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Demand the underlying base rate every time the anecdote surfaces.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Hype-cycle narratives become budget allocations.
Amplifying Incentives
Strategy follows whatever narrative had the best PR cycle.
Org Failure Modes
Strategy follows whatever narrative had the best PR cycle.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Demand the underlying base rate every time the anecdote surfaces.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Demand the underlying base rate every time the anecdote surfaces.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Demand the underlying base rate every time the anecdote surfaces.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Hype-cycle narratives become budget allocations.
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-IDN-0001 · IDN
Availability Cascade
ACBEBackfire EffectBPBelief PerseveranceCBConfirmation BiasCBConservatism BiasJHJust-World HypothesisPBPro-Innovation BiasSRSemmelweis ReflexSBSurvivorship BiasSJSystem JustificationBBBias Blind Spot

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.