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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0669 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Theory U

Otto Scharmer's U-shaped process for moving from habitual response to sensing what wants to emerge.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Otto Scharmer's U-shaped process for moving from habitual response to sensing what wants to emerge.

Plain-English Definition

Otto Scharmer's U-shaped process for moving from habitual response to sensing what wants to emerge.

Feynman Explanation

Most decisions are downloads of the past. Theory U asks you to stop downloading.

Core Principle

Otto Scharmer's U-shaped process for moving from habitual response to sensing what wants to emerge.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Otto Scharmer's U-shaped process for moving from habitual response to sensing what wants to emerge.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

When the same strategy keeps producing the same disappointing results, you're stuck at the top of the U.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Most decisions are downloads of the past. Theory U asks you to stop downloading.

Examples

Everyday
  • MIT Presencing Institute case work across school systems, hospitals, and the UN Global Compact.
Modern (Organizational)
  • When the same strategy keeps producing the same disappointing results, you're stuck at the top of the U.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Suspend judgment → redirect attention → let go → sense the emerging future → prototype → embody.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
When the same strategy keeps producing the same disappointing results, you're stuck at the top of the U.
Amplifying Incentives
When the same strategy keeps producing the same disappointing results, you're stuck at the top of the U.
Org Failure Modes
When the same strategy keeps producing the same disappointing results, you're stuck at the top of the U.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Suspend judgment → redirect attention → let go → sense the emerging future → prototype → embody.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Suspend judgment → redirect attention → let go → sense the emerging future → prototype → embody.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Suspend judgment → redirect attention → let go → sense the emerging future → prototype → embody.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0669 · COG
Theory U
TURu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisAnAnchoringADAsian Disease ProblemABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold Effect

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.