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HBT-COG-0065 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Asian Disease Problem

Tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…
In one paragraph

Asian Disease Problem is tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0065, within the Decision family. The core principle: tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.

Scientific Definition

Tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost.

Plain-English Definition

Tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost.

Feynman Explanation

The choice didn't change. The verb did.

Core Principle

Tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The choice didn't change. The verb did.

Examples

Everyday
  • Standard demonstration that framing — not preference — drives the answer.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Lab Commentary

Original analysis from The Incentives Lab — how this element behaves inside real payoff structures.

Why this element matters to incentive design

Executives usually notice this element only after it has cost something. By then it looks like a one-off. It is not. The mechanism underneath it is straightforward: tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost. You can recognize it in the field by its signature: the choice didn't change. The verb did. Every element in the Cognition dimension changes the perceived payoff of an action before the action happens, which is exactly where incentive design has leverage.

How it gets exploited

Left undesigned, communications, change management, public health and policy messaging. It is amplified whenever communications, change management, public health and policy messaging. Inside organizations that shows up as communications, change management, public health and policy messaging. The pattern is the same one Goodhart's Law describes: the measurable proxy attracts the effort, and the purpose behind it quietly loses funding.

How the Lab designs around it

The redesign move is to always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame. The leverage is not in explaining the behavior to people. It is in changing what the behavior earns.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.
Amplifying Incentives
Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.
Org Failure Modes
Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0065 · COG
Asian Disease Problem
ADRu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisAnAnchoringABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold EffectBRBounded Rationality

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Where Asian Disease Problem is cited in the corpus

Questions about Asian Disease Problem

What is Asian Disease Problem?
Asian Disease Problem is tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0065, within the Decision family. The core principle: tversky & Kahneman's classic: identical outcomes flip from 'risk averse' to 'risk seeking' when framed as lives saved vs. lives lost. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.
What is an example of Asian Disease Problem?
Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging. The Incentives Lab catalogs everyday, organizational, and historical instances of this element on its Human Behavior Taxonomy™ page (HBT-COG-0065).
How is Asian Disease Problem exploited?
Communications, change management, public health and policy messaging.
How do you design around Asian Disease Problem?
Always check the inverse frame. If your answer flips, the answer was the frame.
Which behavioral dimension does Asian Disease Problem belong to?
Asian Disease Problem is classified in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™, family "Decision", class "Mental Model". Its permanent identifier is HBT-COG-0065 and its evidence grade is B.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.