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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0507 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Optionality

Investments that give you future choices.

Strategy·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Investments that give you future choices.

Plain-English Definition

Investments that give you future choices.

Feynman Explanation

The right to act, with no obligation to. Worth more than it sounds.

Core Principle

Investments that give you future choices.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Investments that give you future choices.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Innovation portfolio construction.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The right to act, with no obligation to. Worth more than it sounds.

Examples

Everyday
  • Small bets across many promising areas vs. one large committed bet.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Innovation portfolio construction.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Price the option value of every initiative, not just its expected return.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Innovation portfolio construction.
Amplifying Incentives
Innovation portfolio construction.
Org Failure Modes
Innovation portfolio construction.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Price the option value of every initiative, not just its expected return.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Price the option value of every initiative, not just its expected return.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Price the option value of every initiative, not just its expected return.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0507 · COG
Optionality
OpWL3-Way Life Optimizat…ACAdaptive ChallengeADAdvantageous Diverge…APAgent ProvocateurAOArt of WarAWAsymmetric WarfareBaBackcastingCoCounterinsurgencyCoCounterpropagandaCFCynefin Framework

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.