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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0198 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Counterinsurgency

Winning the disputed population, not just defeating the visible opponent.

Strategy·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Winning the disputed population, not just defeating the visible opponent.

Plain-English Definition

Winning the disputed population, not just defeating the visible opponent.

Feynman Explanation

The battle is for legitimacy, not territory.

Core Principle

Winning the disputed population, not just defeating the visible opponent.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Winning the disputed population, not just defeating the visible opponent.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Most change resistance is structural, not personal.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The battle is for legitimacy, not territory.

Examples

Everyday
  • Internal change programs succeed or fail with the middle, not the loud minority.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Most change resistance is structural, not personal.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Build legitimacy with the uncommitted middle first.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Most change resistance is structural, not personal.
Amplifying Incentives
Most change resistance is structural, not personal.
Org Failure Modes
Most change resistance is structural, not personal.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Build legitimacy with the uncommitted middle first.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Build legitimacy with the uncommitted middle first.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Build legitimacy with the uncommitted middle first.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0198 · COG
Counterinsurgency
CoWL3-Way Life Optimizat…ACAdaptive ChallengeADAdvantageous Diverge…APAgent ProvocateurAOArt of WarAWAsymmetric WarfareBaBackcastingCoCounterpropagandaCFCynefin FrameworkDeDemoralization

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.