Scientific Definition
Stacking so many tenuous links that the conclusion sounds clever.
Plain-English Definition
Stacking so many tenuous links that the conclusion sounds clever.
Feynman Explanation
Eight bank shots to a foregone conclusion.
Core Principle
Stacking so many tenuous links that the conclusion sounds clever.
Mechanisms
Stacking so many tenuous links that the conclusion sounds clever.
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Inputs (Triggers)
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Outputs (Behaviors)
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Behavioral Signature
Eight bank shots to a foregone conclusion.
Examples
- A strategy memo arguing for the desired action via seven plausible jumps.
- Conclusions held together by narrative friction.
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Famous Experiments
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Design Principles
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Measurement Approaches
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Evidence
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The Perverse Incentive Lens™
How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.
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Interactive Mini Network
Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.
Knowledge Graph Neighbors
Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.
If A then B; B happened; therefore A.
Reasoning backward from outcomes to motives.
Treating two things that move together as one causing the other.
With this, therefore because of this.
If A then B; not A; therefore not B.
B followed A, therefore A caused B.
Assuming one cause where many are at play.
A small step inevitably leads to extreme consequences.
Small step → catastrophic outcome, without the intermediate causal links.
Attacking the person rather than the argument.
A single story used as proof of a general claim.
It's true because authority says so.