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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0536 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Possible Selves

Vivid images of who we could become drive present-day effort.

Identity·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Vivid images of who we could become drive present-day effort.

Plain-English Definition

Vivid images of who we could become drive present-day effort.

Feynman Explanation

Hope and dread are both possible selves, doing the same job.

Core Principle

Vivid images of who we could become drive present-day effort.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Vivid images of who we could become drive present-day effort.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Talent development as possible-self construction.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Hope and dread are both possible selves, doing the same job.

Examples

Everyday
  • Career programs that show 'people three steps ahead of you' outperform abstract pathways.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Talent development as possible-self construction.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Make the next-rung self visible, plural, and reachable.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Talent development as possible-self construction.
Amplifying Incentives
Talent development as possible-self construction.
Org Failure Modes
Talent development as possible-self construction.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Make the next-rung self visible, plural, and reachable.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Make the next-rung self visible, plural, and reachable.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Make the next-rung self visible, plural, and reachable.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0536 · COG
Possible Selves
PSRu10/10/10 RuleWL3-Way Life Optimizat…APAbilene ParadoxAbAbsent-MindednessAbAbstractionsADActon's DictumABActor-Observer BiasAQAdaptability Quotien…ABAdaptive BiasACAdaptive Challenge

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.