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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0277 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Escalation of Commitment

Continuing a failing course of action because of prior investment.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Continuing a failing course of action because of prior investment.

Plain-English Definition

Continuing a failing course of action because of prior investment.

Feynman Explanation

The deeper the hole, the more we insist on digging.

Core Principle

Continuing a failing course of action because of prior investment.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Continuing a failing course of action because of prior investment.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Sunk cost logic is the silent killer of capital allocation.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The deeper the hole, the more we insist on digging.

Examples

Everyday
  • A project keeps getting funding because it has already consumed so much.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Sunk cost logic is the silent killer of capital allocation.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Set kill criteria before the project begins, not after it struggles.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Sunk cost logic is the silent killer of capital allocation.
Amplifying Incentives
Sunk cost logic is the silent killer of capital allocation.
Org Failure Modes
Sunk cost logic is the silent killer of capital allocation.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Set kill criteria before the project begins, not after it struggles.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Set kill criteria before the project begins, not after it struggles.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Set kill criteria before the project begins, not after it struggles.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0277 · COG
Escalation of Commitment
EORu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisAnAnchoringADAsian Disease ProblemABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold Effect

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.