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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0218 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Decision Staging

We don't decide once — we narrow, then evaluate, then commit.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

We don't decide once — we narrow, then evaluate, then commit.

Plain-English Definition

We don't decide once — we narrow, then evaluate, then commit.

Feynman Explanation

Most of the decision is made before anyone 'decides.'

Core Principle

We don't decide once — we narrow, then evaluate, then commit.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

We don't decide once — we narrow, then evaluate, then commit.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Whoever owns the screen owns the decision.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Most of the decision is made before anyone 'decides.'

Examples

Everyday
  • Buyers screen cars on price, then on brand, then on features — sequentially.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Whoever owns the screen owns the decision.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Audit the screening stage; that's where most options die invisibly.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Whoever owns the screen owns the decision.
Amplifying Incentives
Whoever owns the screen owns the decision.
Org Failure Modes
Whoever owns the screen owns the decision.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Audit the screening stage; that's where most options die invisibly.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Audit the screening stage; that's where most options die invisibly.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Audit the screening stage; that's where most options die invisibly.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0218 · COG
Decision Staging
DSRu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisAnAnchoringADAsian Disease ProblemABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold Effect

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.