Skip to main content
The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0077 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Availability Heuristic

We judge frequency by how easily examples come to mind.

Memory Bias·Cognitive Bias·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

We judge frequency by how easily examples come to mind.

Plain-English Definition

We judge frequency by how easily examples come to mind.

Feynman Explanation

Vivid beats true. Recent beats important.

Core Principle

We judge frequency by how easily examples come to mind.

Mechanisms

Psychological

We judge frequency by how easily examples come to mind.

Behavioral Economic

Pending editorial review.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Vivid beats true. Recent beats important.

Examples

Everyday
  • One viral customer complaint reshapes a roadmap built on 10M happy users.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Strategy overweights the loud and recent; under-weights the silent base rate.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Require base rates in every memo before any narrative.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
AI summaries that lead with anecdotes warp executive judgment by design.
Amplifying Incentives
Strategy overweights the loud and recent; under-weights the silent base rate.
Org Failure Modes
Strategy overweights the loud and recent; under-weights the silent base rate.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Require base rates in every memo before any narrative.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Require base rates in every memo before any narrative.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Require base rates in every memo before any narrative.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
AI summaries that lead with anecdotes warp executive judgment by design.
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0077 · COG
Availability Heuristic
AHCBChoice-Supportive BiasHBHindsight BiasPRPeak-End RuleRBRecency BiasRRRosy RetrospectionABAction BiasAHAffect HeuristicAAAmbiguity AversionABAnchoring BiasApApophenia

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.