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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0034 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Anchoring

The first number on the table silently sets the range for every number after it.

Decision·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

The first number on the table silently sets the range for every number after it.

Plain-English Definition

The first number on the table silently sets the range for every number after it.

Feynman Explanation

Whoever speaks first writes the ceiling.

Core Principle

The first number on the table silently sets the range for every number after it.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

The first number on the table silently sets the range for every number after it.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Comp negotiations, valuations, and budgets are all anchored before they're 'analyzed.'

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Whoever speaks first writes the ceiling.

Examples

Everyday
  • An opening offer of $1.2M defines a band nobody questions.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Comp negotiations, valuations, and budgets are all anchored before they're 'analyzed.'
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Collect independent estimates in writing before any number is said aloud.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Comp negotiations, valuations, and budgets are all anchored before they're 'analyzed.'
Amplifying Incentives
Comp negotiations, valuations, and budgets are all anchored before they're 'analyzed.'
Org Failure Modes
Comp negotiations, valuations, and budgets are all anchored before they're 'analyzed.'
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Collect independent estimates in writing before any number is said aloud.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Collect independent estimates in writing before any number is said aloud.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Collect independent estimates in writing before any number is said aloud.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0034 · COG
Anchoring
AnRu10/10/10 RuleAbAbsent-MindednessABAlternative BlindnessAPAlternative PathsAPAnalysis ParalysisADAsian Disease ProblemABAttentional BiasABAutomation BiasBEBezold EffectBRBounded Rationality

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.