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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0499 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Occam's Razor

Prefer the simplest explanation consistent with the evidence.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Prefer the simplest explanation consistent with the evidence.

Plain-English Definition

Prefer the simplest explanation consistent with the evidence.

Feynman Explanation

The simplest story that fits the data is usually the story.

Core Principle

Prefer the simplest explanation consistent with the evidence.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Prefer the simplest explanation consistent with the evidence.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Cutting through political over-theorizing in postmortems.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

The simplest story that fits the data is usually the story.

Examples

Everyday
  • Sales are down because demand is down. Not because of a 7-part conspiracy.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Cutting through political over-theorizing in postmortems.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Start with the boring explanation. Earn the complex one.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Cutting through political over-theorizing in postmortems.
Amplifying Incentives
Cutting through political over-theorizing in postmortems.
Org Failure Modes
Cutting through political over-theorizing in postmortems.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Start with the boring explanation. Earn the complex one.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Start with the boring explanation. Earn the complex one.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Start with the boring explanation. Earn the complex one.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0499 · COG
Occam's Razor
ORAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasAAAffirming a DisjunctADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal Fallacy

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.