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HBT-COG-0254 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Dunbar's Number

~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships.

Systems·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…
In one paragraph

Dunbar's Number is ~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0254, within the Systems family. The core principle: ~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.

Scientific Definition

~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships.

Plain-English Definition

~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships.

Feynman Explanation

Above 150, you have a directory, not a tribe.

Core Principle

~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Above 150, you have a directory, not a tribe.

Examples

Everyday
  • Org structures that retain coherence below ~150, fragment above.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Lab Commentary

Original analysis from The Incentives Lab — how this element behaves inside real payoff structures.

Why this element matters to incentive design

The mistake with this element is treating it as irrationality. It is almost always a rational response to a payoff nobody wrote down. The mechanism underneath it is straightforward: ~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships. You can recognize it in the field by its signature: above 150, you have a directory, not a tribe. Every element in the Cognition dimension changes the perceived payoff of an action before the action happens, which is exactly where incentive design has leverage.

How it gets exploited

Left undesigned, scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection. It is amplified whenever scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection. Inside organizations that shows up as scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection. The pattern is the same one Goodhart's Law describes: the measurable proxy attracts the effort, and the purpose behind it quietly loses funding.

How the Lab designs around it

The redesign move is to design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold. Measure the behavior, not the sentiment. A survey will tell you how people feel about this; only observed action tells you whether it changed.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.
Amplifying Incentives
Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.
Org Failure Modes
Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0254 · COG
Dunbar's Number
DNAlAlloyingBoBottleneckBoBottlenecksBWBroken Windows TheoryBLBrook's LawBLBrooks's LawCaCatalystCTChaos TheoryCRChemical ReactionsCLConway's Law

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Where Dunbar's Number is cited in the corpus

Questions about Dunbar's Number

What is Dunbar's Number?
Dunbar's Number is ~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0254, within the Systems family. The core principle: ~150 — the cognitive limit on stable social relationships. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.
What is an example of Dunbar's Number?
Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection. The Incentives Lab catalogs everyday, organizational, and historical instances of this element on its Human Behavior Taxonomy™ page (HBT-COG-0254).
How is Dunbar's Number exploited?
Scaling org design must account for the 150-person inflection.
How do you design around Dunbar's Number?
Design deliberate sub-tribes when crossing Dunbar's threshold.
Which behavioral dimension does Dunbar's Number belong to?
Dunbar's Number is classified in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™, family "Systems", class "Mental Model". Its permanent identifier is HBT-COG-0254 and its evidence grade is B.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.