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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0016 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Adverse Selection

Asymmetric information attracts the worst counterparties.

Economics·Concept·Grade C·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Asymmetric information attracts the worst counterparties.

Plain-English Definition

Asymmetric information attracts the worst counterparties.

Feynman Explanation

If only the desperate buy your insurance, you have a pricing problem.

Core Principle

Asymmetric information attracts the worst counterparties.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Pending editorial review.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

If only the desperate buy your insurance, you have a pricing problem.

Examples

Everyday
  • Health plans that don't screen end up insuring the sickest pool.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Loose qualification criteria recruit exactly the customers you can't profitably serve.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Use signals (screens, deposits, references) that good counterparties will pay.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
C (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★☆☆☆
Intervention Confidence
2 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Open APIs without rate limits attract scrapers, not customers.
Amplifying Incentives
Loose qualification criteria recruit exactly the customers you can't profitably serve.
Org Failure Modes
Loose qualification criteria recruit exactly the customers you can't profitably serve.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Use signals (screens, deposits, references) that good counterparties will pay.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Use signals (screens, deposits, references) that good counterparties will pay.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Use signals (screens, deposits, references) that good counterparties will pay.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Open APIs without rate limits attract scrapers, not customers.
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0016 · COG
Adverse Selection
ASCSCostly SignalingExExternalitySiSignalingAcAccountabilityAuAuthorityAwAweBLBalancing LoopBeBelongingCACollective Action Pr…CoCompetence

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.