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The Incentives Lab
HBT-INC-0290 · Dimension INC · Incentives

War Budget Persistence

Annual defense appropriations grow with active conflict, giving institutions a stake in prolonging it.

Universal Pattern Perverse Pattern·Perverse Incentive·Grade C·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Annual defense appropriations grow with active conflict, giving institutions a stake in prolonging it.

Plain-English Definition

Annual defense appropriations grow with active conflict, giving institutions a stake in prolonging it.

Feynman Explanation

Peace is a budget problem dressed as a goal.

Core Principle

Annual defense appropriations grow with active conflict, giving institutions a stake in prolonging it.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Annual defense appropriations grow with active conflict, giving institutions a stake in prolonging it.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Institutional incentives outlive policy intent.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Peace is a budget problem dressed as a goal.

Examples

Everyday
  • Long-cycle conflict budget growth despite stated drawdowns.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Institutional incentives outlive policy intent.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Outcome-tied conflict accounting. Sunset reviews.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
C (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
4 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Institutional incentives outlive policy intent.
Amplifying Incentives
Institutional incentives outlive policy intent.
Org Failure Modes
Institutional incentives outlive policy intent.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Outcome-tied conflict accounting. Sunset reviews.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Outcome-tied conflict accounting. Sunset reviews.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Outcome-tied conflict accounting. Sunset reviews.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-INC-0290 · INC
War Budget Persistence
WBAPAnnual Performance R…CLCampbell's LawCOCharity Overhead TrapCOCharity Overhead Tra…CECobra EffectEMEfficiency MonocultureFLFederal Land Exchang…GLGoodhart's LawHDHyper-Specialization…LOLocal-Optimum Optimi…

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.