Skip to main content
The Incentives Lab
HBT-INC-0097 · Dimension INC · Incentives

Drafting for Picks, Not Wins

Bad teams 'tank' for better draft positions.

Sports Perverse Pattern·Perverse Incentive·Grade C·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Bad teams 'tank' for better draft positions.

Plain-English Definition

Bad teams 'tank' for better draft positions.

Feynman Explanation

We're not losing. We're optimizing the draft.

Core Principle

Bad teams 'tank' for better draft positions.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Bad teams 'tank' for better draft positions.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Reward systems for failure produce failure.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Pending editorial review.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

We're not losing. We're optimizing the draft.

Examples

Everyday
  • NBA and NFL teams in late-season decline.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Reward systems for failure produce failure.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Lottery systems. Sliding-scale incentives.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
C (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
4 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Reward systems for failure produce failure.
Amplifying Incentives
Reward systems for failure produce failure.
Org Failure Modes
Reward systems for failure produce failure.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Lottery systems. Sliding-scale incentives.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Lottery systems. Sliding-scale incentives.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Lottery systems. Sliding-scale incentives.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-INC-0097 · INC
Drafting for Picks, Not Wins
DFDEDoping EquilibriumTITrophy InflationST'Spend to Save' Prom…MA15-Minute AppointmentsBD340B Discount Arbitr…AEAcquisition Earn-OutsAMAcquisition-Only Mar…ABAd-Supported Busines…AdAdjunctificationAFAesthetic-First Fitn…

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Auto-linked to the rest of the Human Behavior Taxonomy by family, domain, dimension, and shared keywords.

Same family
HBT-INC-0096Doping Equilibrium

Once any player dopes, everyone is forced to consider it.

Same family
HBT-INC-0277Trophy Inflation

Coaches paid on titles take more risk; coaches paid on attendance take less.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0001'Spend to Save' Promotions

Discount framing nudges people to buy things they wouldn't otherwise want.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-000215-Minute Appointments

Productivity targets compress visits, raising misdiagnosis and burnout.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0003340B Discount Arbitrage

A federal mandate intended to lower drug costs for the poor became a profit engine for hospitals and contract pharmacies.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0005Acquisition Earn-Outs

Earn-outs designed to retain founders often demotivate the team they bought.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0006Acquisition-Only Marketing

Funnels rewarded for new logos under-invest in retention and lifetime value.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0007Ad-Supported Business Models

Free products monetize attention, structurally aligning incentives against user time well spent.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0008Adjunctification

Tenure-track jobs replaced by low-paid adjuncts, lowering cost and quality.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0010Aesthetic-First Fitness

Training for appearance can crowd out mobility, longevity, and mental health.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0013Aggressive Cost-Cutting

Cuts that lift margin this quarter erode product quality and brand equity over years.

Same dimension
HBT-INC-0014Agricultural Subsidy Lock-In

Per-bushel subsidies reward overproduction of specific crops regardless of soil, market, or nutritional need.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.