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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0362 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Heuristic

A mental shortcut that substitutes a hard question with an easier one.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

A mental shortcut that substitutes a hard question with an easier one.

Plain-English Definition

A mental shortcut that substitutes a hard question with an easier one.

Feynman Explanation

Mostly right, occasionally catastrophic.

Core Principle

A mental shortcut that substitutes a hard question with an easier one.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

A mental shortcut that substitutes a hard question with an easier one.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Most executive judgment under uncertainty runs on heuristics, not analysis.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Mostly right, occasionally catastrophic.

Examples

Everyday
  • 'Is this safe?' becomes 'Does this feel familiar?'
Modern (Organizational)
  • Most executive judgment under uncertainty runs on heuristics, not analysis.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Name the heuristic out loud. Then check whether it fits this case.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Most executive judgment under uncertainty runs on heuristics, not analysis.
Amplifying Incentives
Most executive judgment under uncertainty runs on heuristics, not analysis.
Org Failure Modes
Most executive judgment under uncertainty runs on heuristics, not analysis.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Name the heuristic out loud. Then check whether it fits this case.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Name the heuristic out loud. Then check whether it fits this case.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Name the heuristic out loud. Then check whether it fits this case.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0362 · COG
Heuristic
HeAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasAAAffirming a DisjunctADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal Fallacy

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.