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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0316 · Dimension COG · Cognition

First Principles

Break a problem down to irreducible truths and rebuild from there.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Break a problem down to irreducible truths and rebuild from there.

Plain-English Definition

Break a problem down to irreducible truths and rebuild from there.

Feynman Explanation

Reasoning by analogy is fast. Reasoning by first principles is right.

Core Principle

Break a problem down to irreducible truths and rebuild from there.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Break a problem down to irreducible truths and rebuild from there.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Strategic resets when industry assumptions stop holding.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Reasoning by analogy is fast. Reasoning by first principles is right.

Examples

Everyday
  • Musk on rockets: 'What are the raw materials? What do they cost?'
Modern (Organizational)
  • Strategic resets when industry assumptions stop holding.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Every annual plan: list five assumptions you'd defend, then attack each one.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Strategic resets when industry assumptions stop holding.
Amplifying Incentives
Strategic resets when industry assumptions stop holding.
Org Failure Modes
Strategic resets when industry assumptions stop holding.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Every annual plan: list five assumptions you'd defend, then attack each one.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Every annual plan: list five assumptions you'd defend, then attack each one.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Every annual plan: list five assumptions you'd defend, then attack each one.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0316 · COG
First Principles
FPAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasAAAffirming a DisjunctADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal Fallacy

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.