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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0288 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Extension Neglect

Ignoring the size of a sample or population in our judgments.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Ignoring the size of a sample or population in our judgments.

Plain-English Definition

Ignoring the size of a sample or population in our judgments.

Feynman Explanation

One vivid story beats a thousand silent ones.

Core Principle

Ignoring the size of a sample or population in our judgments.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Ignoring the size of a sample or population in our judgments.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Decision weight should scale with sample weight. Often doesn't.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

One vivid story beats a thousand silent ones.

Examples

Everyday
  • Reacting to a single customer complaint the same as to a survey of thousands.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Decision weight should scale with sample weight. Often doesn't.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Always note 'how many?' before reacting to 'what?'

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Decision weight should scale with sample weight. Often doesn't.
Amplifying Incentives
Decision weight should scale with sample weight. Often doesn't.
Org Failure Modes
Decision weight should scale with sample weight. Often doesn't.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Always note 'how many?' before reacting to 'what?'
Diagnostic Questions
  • Always note 'how many?' before reacting to 'what?'
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Always note 'how many?' before reacting to 'what?'
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0288 · COG
Extension Neglect
ENAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasAAAffirming a DisjunctADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal Fallacy

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.