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HBT-COG-0111 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Brandolini's Law

The energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…
In one paragraph

Brandolini's Law is the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0111, within the Reasoning family. The core principle: the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.

Scientific Definition

The energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.

Plain-English Definition

The energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.

Feynman Explanation

Lies run sprints. Truth runs marathons.

Core Principle

The energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

The energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Lies run sprints. Truth runs marathons.

Examples

Everyday
  • A false claim spreads in minutes; the correction takes days and never reaches everyone.
Modern (Organizational)
  • Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Lab Commentary

Original analysis from The Incentives Lab — how this element behaves inside real payoff structures.

Why this element matters to incentive design

This is one of the elements leaders describe as a values gap. It is a payoff gap. The mechanism underneath it is straightforward: the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it. You can recognize it in the field by its signature: lies run sprints. Truth runs marathons. Every element in the Cognition dimension changes the perceived payoff of an action before the action happens, which is exactly where incentive design has leverage.

How it gets exploited

Left undesigned, misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization. It is amplified whenever misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization. Inside organizations that shows up as misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization. The pattern is the same one Goodhart's Law describes: the measurable proxy attracts the effort, and the purpose behind it quietly loses funding.

How the Lab designs around it

The redesign move is to invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives. Watch for it at the boundaries: handoffs, promotions, incident reviews, and budget cycles are where this element gets its power.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.
Amplifying Incentives
Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.
Org Failure Modes
Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0111 · COG
Brandolini's Law
BLAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasAAAffirming a DisjunctADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal Fallacy

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Where Brandolini's Law is cited in the corpus

Questions about Brandolini's Law

What is Brandolini's Law?
Brandolini's Law is the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it. It sits in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™ as element HBT-COG-0111, within the Reasoning family. The core principle: the energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it. In incentive terms, it matters because it changes the payoff people perceive before they choose — which means it can be designed for, or exploited.
What is an example of Brandolini's Law?
Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization. The Incentives Lab catalogs everyday, organizational, and historical instances of this element on its Human Behavior Taxonomy™ page (HBT-COG-0111).
How is Brandolini's Law exploited?
Misinformation is an asymmetric threat to every organization.
How do you design around Brandolini's Law?
Invest in rapid, credible response teams and pre-bunked narratives.
Which behavioral dimension does Brandolini's Law belong to?
Brandolini's Law is classified in the Cognition dimension (COG) of the Human Behavior Taxonomy™, family "Reasoning", class "Mental Model". Its permanent identifier is HBT-COG-0111 and its evidence grade is B.

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.