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The Incentives Lab
HBT-COG-0019 · Dimension COG · Cognition

Affirming a Disjunct

Assuming that if one option is true, another must be false, when both can be true.

Reasoning·Mental Model·Grade B·draft· enriching…

Scientific Definition

Assuming that if one option is true, another must be false, when both can be true.

Plain-English Definition

Assuming that if one option is true, another must be false, when both can be true.

Feynman Explanation

Or is not always exclusive.

Core Principle

Assuming that if one option is true, another must be false, when both can be true.

Mechanisms

Psychological

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Economic

Assuming that if one option is true, another must be false, when both can be true.

Neurological

Pending editorial review.

Evolutionary

Pending editorial review.

Sociological

Pending editorial review.

Computational

Pending editorial review.

Systems

False trade-offs dominate strategic conversations.

Inputs (Triggers)

Pending editorial review.

Outputs (Behaviors)

Pending editorial review.

Behavioral Signature

Or is not always exclusive.

Examples

Everyday
  • 'She is either ambitious or a team player' ignores that she can be both.
Modern (Organizational)
  • False trade-offs dominate strategic conversations.
Historical

Pending editorial review.

Famous Experiments

Pending editorial review.

Design Principles

  • Ask whether the two options are genuinely mutually exclusive.

Measurement Approaches

Pending editorial review.

Evidence

Evidence Grade
B (A strongest → E speculative)
Replication
★★★☆☆
Intervention Confidence
3 / 5
Consensus
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Limitations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Open Research Questions

Pending editorial review.

Primary References

Pending editorial review.

Signature Section

The Perverse Incentive Lens™

How this behavior is exploited — and how to redesign around it.

Exploitation
False trade-offs dominate strategic conversations.
Amplifying Incentives
False trade-offs dominate strategic conversations.
Org Failure Modes
False trade-offs dominate strategic conversations.
Societal Failure Modes
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Ethical Considerations
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Redesign Strategies
Ask whether the two options are genuinely mutually exclusive.
Diagnostic Questions
  • Ask whether the two options are genuinely mutually exclusive.
Warning Signs

Pending editorial review.

Red Flags

Pending editorial review.

Intervention Playbook
Individual
Ask whether the two options are genuinely mutually exclusive.
Team
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Organization
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Policy
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
AI Implications
Detection
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Measurement
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Mitigation
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).
Responsible Use
Pending editorial review (HBT v1.0 auto-seed).

Interactive Mini Network

Click any neighbor to re-center the graph and follow the threads of connection.

HBT-COG-0019 · COG
Affirming a Disjunct
AAAbAbstractionsABAdaptive BiasABAdditive BiasADAgent DetectionARAlder's RazorAlAlgorithmsAMAll Models Are WrongABAllegiance BiasAFAnecdotal FallacyATAppeal to Majority

Knowledge Graph Neighbors

Version History

v1.1.0 · 2026-06-28Initial auto-seed from corpus.